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Trader Overview
cqs Polymarket trader turned $890K in deposits into $1.11M portfolio with a surgical 67% win rate across 372 trades — the kind of consistency that separates whale signal from noise.
CQS sits at rank 140 on the Polymarket leaderboard as a textbook low-risk whale. 78% ROI on deposits. 1.5 trades per day. 304 distinct markets touched. The profile screams discipline: this isn't a degen chasing moonshots. This is someone who understands that prediction markets reward edge that compounds quietly.
The edge: heavy specialization in geopolitical and macro prediction markets. His best trade clocked $91.8K on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? — a market that demands real-time conviction, not guesswork. His worst loss sits at -$25.7K on third-party vote splitting, which actually proves the point: even his worst outcome is capped. Buy-to-sell ratio of 1.81 signals he's building positions and holding thesis conviction, not scalp-trading noise. Average trade size $5.8K keeps him sized appropriately for a $1.1M portfolio. That's execution discipline.
The math backs it: $701K PnL over what looks like steady accumulation. Daily trades averaging 1.5 means he's not drowning in data or chasing every market. He's selective. The 67.14% win rate Polymarket trader statistic matters more than volume — that's 250 winning trades against 122 losers. Volume ($12.3M) is secondary; consistency is primary. 92 open positions across 280 closed ones shows he runs a real portfolio, not a trading sim.
Where cqs differs from 99% Polymarket whales: he hasn't blown up on single conviction bets. Max single win $91.8K, max loss -$25.7K — the ratio alone tells you someone's using position sizing as a weapon. Geopolitical markets demand thesis work most degens skip entirely. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025 was exactly the kind of bet that separates signal from luck.
Current state: 92 open positions mean he's holding macro exposure into 2025. Net positive transfers of $414K after withdrawals suggests confidence in the thesis, not panic hedging. Risk level stays low because position discipline is locked in. Fair warning: 67% win rate still means 1 in 3 trades lose. The portfolio value is real, but prediction markets don't care about yesterday's PnL. One geopolitical black swan and conviction gets tested hard.
This is a Polymarket trader operating like a professional, not a gambler pretending to be one.
whaleRisk: low