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Trader Overview
Goopah (0xceecb2ecc91e32ebcc6bdee532e3d90055a34ad9) Polymarket trader flipped a $46k net deposit into $40k pure profit in 25 trades — but only wins 25% of the time, somehow.
Goopah sits at rank 2645 as a medium-risk whale grinding Polymarket with brutal honesty baked in. The stats read like a contrarian's fever dream: 27.2% ROI on deposits, $40.3k PnL total, but a win rate that makes most traders cringe. Not a noise farmer. Not a high-frequency bot. Just someone who bets big on the trades that matter and accepts the dust.
The edge? Position sizing discipline mixed with selective high-conviction bets. Goopah averages $3,216 per trade across 25 markets over ~28 days — that's 1.4 trades daily but with intention, not desperation. The buy-to-sell ratio of 2.23 shows conviction holdings; he's not scalp-hunting. His single best trade, LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs, netted $16.8k. His worst, Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?, cost $15.3k. The gap is tight — he's not gambling with house money on one bet.
What separates Goopah from 99% of prediction market degenerates: he doesn't need to win often to win big. A 25% win rate is death for most traders. For Goopah, it works because his winners are fat ($16.8k max) and his losers are controlled ($15.3k max). Average entry price of 0.41 means he's buying when markets are still pricing uncertainty, then riding conviction. Nine open positions with $68.4k portfolio value suggest he's comfortable holding through volatility — no panic exits, no margin.
Right now he's still 25 markets deep across Polymarket with medium risk exposure. The drawdown risk is real: one bad 3-4 trade streak could flatten weeks of gains. But the Polymarket whale profile holds. He deposits when conviction is high, withdraws profits, repeats. Not everyone survives the math — but Goopah's already in the black on deposits, which is the only stat that matters.
whaleRisk: high