BWArmageddon turned $543K profit on 88.9% win rate — but carries $195K single-loss baggage that never fully resolved. Rank 204 whale. 63 total trades across 60 markets. This trader buys heavy, sells light (4.28:1 ratio), averaging $16K per entry at 0.49 odds. The portfolio math is tight: $62K remaining while sitting on 24 open positions. ROI clocks 3.31% — solid, not exceptional. The edge lives in entry discipline. Most of their wins cluster in the $50-100K range, suggesting they size up on high-conviction plays and take profits early. Their best trade — Maple Leafs vs. Oilers — netted $212K. But they also got torched on Bruins vs. Lightning for -$195K. That's a $407K swing on two bets. The real question: is that variance or judgment breakdown? Trading 16+ times daily suggests speed-based execution rather than deep research. They're hunting liquidity imbalances and fast-moving lines, not deep fundamental plays. The 4.28 buy/sell ratio hints at directional conviction — they're not hedging aggressively, they're doubling down. That works until it doesn't. Current portfolio: underwater on closed basis but 24 open positions means a lot of thesis still cooking. With $62K left to deploy and medium risk tolerance, BWArmageddon isn't blowing up soon. But that $195K loss sits like a flare — they can read markets well enough to win 9 out of 10, yet still get whipsawed on conviction trades. Execution is sharp. Conviction management needs watching.