Loading wallet statistics...
Trader Overview
MaiHaze (0x8f053ac26c46b27f304cb51ae35dc6f677e3c0b8) is a Polymarket trader who turned $329K in deposits into $124K net profit across 368 trades — then watched ROI crater to -57% on paper, the kind of drawdown that separates survivors from exit liquidity.
Rank 867 on the Polymarket leaderboard. Whale-tier wallet, low risk categorization, but the numbers tell a story of momentum gone sideways. MaiHaze spreads bets thin across 314 different markets — mostly sports (Nuggets vs. Clippers hit for $36.5K, his best single trade), some noise plays, heavy buy-side bias (3.99 buy-to-sell ratio suggests conviction or average entry timing problems). Win rate sits at 82%, which is genuinely elite. The problem? Dollar-weighted returns don't match win rate when your ROI tanks that hard.
Strategy is textbook Polymarket grinding: 2.8 trades per day, $1,614 average ticket size, diversify across categories to reduce single-event tail risk. The math works until it doesn't. His best trade made $36.5K on NBA futures, worst trade cost $14.7K on NFL, so variance is real even for disciplined players. $4.8M total volume across 368 closed positions shows solid execution and liquidity management — no one-way market maker, actual two-sided flow.
The real edge should've been the 82% win rate sustained across 314 markets. That's rare. But here's the catch: high win rate on small average tickets usually means he's picking high-probability, low-payout bets and getting crushed by one or two size positions when conviction was highest. His $36K win came alongside a $14.7K loss, suggesting he sizes up when confident — and confidence on Polymarket is a liability.
Current portfolio shows $3,183 remaining value with just one open position. Total withdrawals of $136K against $329K deposits means he pulled profits early (smart), then kept grinding into drawdown. That's the psychology that kills traders: you're up 40%, you prove the system works, you diamond-hand into the next 50% swing. Net transfers show $192K moved in his direction before accounting, but ROI on deposits sits at -57%, which is the hard truth after fees, slippage, and market impact.
Not everyone survives the Polymarket grind. MaiHaze has the discipline and win rate to eventually break even, but that portfolio value is a warning: high-frequency Polymarket traders need either infinite patience or perfect market timing, and only one of those is learnable.
whaleRisk: low