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Trader Overview
noirsatan [0x6878dbed2b2ecf23cc62d9b1395e9974a223709d] Polymarket trader turned 3.8k into 5.1k with a 99.23% win rate — basically printing money on noise markets while retail loses sleep over politics and sports.
The Polymarket whale that isn't. noirsatan ranks outside the leaderboard noise but moves with surgical precision: 132 total trades, 130 closed, 37% ROI on deposits, $1,403.67 total PnL. Low risk. Conservative. Win rate so clean it makes most Polymarket traders look like they're throwing darts at election maps.
Here's the edge: noirsatan doesn't chase narratives. Trades per day sits at 0.3 — that's patient farm work, not panic scalping. Average trade size hovers around $1,784, entry prices clustered at 0.99 (buying the dip noise, selling certainty). The buy-sell ratio screams passive entry: 141 buys to near-zero sells. This isn't volatility chasing. This is picking up pennies in front of margins everyone else missed.
Bitcoin above _ on February 17? That one-off trade paid $54.41. The worst? A Liverpool vs. Manchester United sports market that cost $11.78. That spread — $66 from peak win to worst loss — is the profile of someone who found a niche and mills it. Across 132 markets traded on Polymarket, noirsatan's consistency reads like a bot filtering signal from noise. 99.23% win rate doesn't happen on luck. It happens on process.
The Polymarket leaderboard ignores this account because the volume doesn't flash ($254k total), but that's exactly the point. This is disciplined capital allocation: deposit 3.8k, run 132 trades, pull $1,403 profit, hold 5.1k final portfolio. No blow-ups. No recovery arc narratives. Just steady PnL on low-volatility markets where retail doesn't see the edge. Two open positions right now, both probably aged, both probably tight. The risk level is listed as low because noirsatan treats prediction markets like a business, not a casino.
Only catch: replicating this means finding markets where 0.99 entry prices still exist, where narrative overhang hasn't killed the edge. That worked through late 2024. Whether the Polymarket trader keeps winning when attention tightens is the real test.
conservativeRisk: low