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Trader Overview
CemeterySun Polymarket trader runs a crypto bot that trades 393 times per day across 168 markets, yet somehow sits at negative 15.9% ROI on $2M deployed — a jaw-dropping stat that proves raw volume and an 79% win rate can still blow up if position sizing and tail risk management collapse.
CemeterySun is a medium-risk crypto bot operating on Polymarket (wallet: 0x37c1874a60d348903594a96703e0507c518fc53a), ranked #2,304,263. The numbers are genuinely weird: 255 total trades, 79% win rate, 393 trades per day across 168 different Polymarket markets, but down $13,081 overall on $2M in deposits with zero withdrawals. This is the Polymarket trader that exposes the gap between "winning more than you lose" and "making money."
The strategy is volume arbitrage and market noise farming. CemeterySun's bot floods orders across prediction markets — 854 buys to every sell — chasing small inefficiencies and micro-odds dislocations. Average trade size $1,837, average entry price 0.488. Sounds surgical until you see the portfolio value is $1.68M and the PnL is underwater. The best single trade hit $131K on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?; the worst lost $52.5K on Nuggets vs. Thunder. Tail risk is real. 164 open positions right now means liquidity concentration and forced exit risk if Polymarket wallet checker shows portfolio stress.
The Polymarket PnL math is brutal here: 79% win rate across 255 trades should work. It doesn't. The edge isn't edge — it's just noise collection on a bot. High-frequency scalping on prediction markets has negative edge after fees and slippage once you scale. CemeterySun's bot trades Polymarket like a DEX arbitrage bot; prediction markets have thinner liquidity, tighter spreads, and longer tails. The Polymarket whale strategy fails at volume.
164 open positions with zero withdrawals suggests CemeterySun is rolling losses forward, hoping a compound gain cycle breaks even. Not everyone survives the drawdown. The bot is live but treading water.
Check this wallet on Predicts.guru or use any Polymarket wallet analytics tool to see real-time position tracking and compare against other top Polymarket traders for context.
crypto botRisk: medium